In the realm of Nigerian politics, the corridors of power are often shrouded in mystery, with the true influencers concealed behind the scenes. One such enigmatic figure who held immense sway over the decision-making process during the previous administration was Abba Kyari, the former Chief of Staff to the President of Nigeria. Known for his unwavering loyalty and controversial persona, Kyari’s reign left an indelible mark on the country’s political landscape.

As Nigeria’s political landscape continues to evolve, a new phase in power is set to unfold within the walls of the Aso Rock Presidential Villa. With the appointment of Femi Gbajabiamila as Chief of Staff (CoS), the presence of Remi Tinubu as the First Lady, and the elevation of Kashim Shettima to the role of Vice President, an intriguing question arises: who among these three figures holds the greatest potential to become the “shot caller” in Aso Rock?

In this article, we embark on a speculative exploration, projecting the power shift and analyzing the factors that could shape the influence of Gbajabiamila, Remi Tinubu, and Shettima in the corridors of power. By examining their backgrounds, positions, and possible avenues of impact, we seek to provide insight into the potential dynamics of the next phase in Aso Rock.

Join us as we delve into the realm of possibilities, considering the strengths, alliances, and aspirations of these prominent figures, and attempt to discern which of them might emerge as the most powerful force in shaping Nigeria’s political landscape.

Remi Tinubu

Our attention now turns to Remi Tinubu, the first individual on our list. Who exactly is she? What notable milestones have marked her political journey? And most importantly, what are the prospects of her wielding substantial influence over the governance of Nigeria? Delving into these intricate perspectives is essential as we seek to unravel the extent of her impact on the nation’s leadership.

Mrs Oluremi Tinubu

Who is Remi Tinubu?

The position of the First Lady in Nigeria is highly respected due to the significant role played by any individual who serves as the wife of the President in society. Currently holding the position is Oluremi Tinubu, a powerful woman and a notable politician in her own right. The name Oluremi Tinubu is already well-known throughout the country, mainly because she has previously held a prominent political position. She has served as a Nigerian Senator representing the Lagos Central constituency in the red Chamber of the National Assembly for three terms.

After receiving his certificate of return as the president-elect, Bola Tinubu announced that his wife would not be returning to the Senate as she did not participate in the election. “To my lovely wife, Oluremi Tinubu, the senators should not expect her back. She will be my housewife and the First Lady,” Tinubu stated.

Oluremi Tinubu was born on September 21, 1960. She hails from Ogun State and is an ordained Pastor in the Redeemed Christian Church of God (RCCG). At the age of 62, Mrs. Tinubu is a graduate of the University of Ife (now Obafemi Awolowo University, Ile-Ife). She is no stranger to the role of a first lady, having served as the first lady of Lagos State when her husband, Bola Tinubu, was the governor from 1999 to 2007. She represented the Lagos Central Senatorial District in the Nigerian National Assembly from 2011 to 2023. Mrs. Tinubu is a member of the All Progressives Congress (APC) political party.

Political Career

Senator Oluremi Tinubu entered the red chamber as a senator in 2011. Her election faced challenges at the Legislative House Election Petition Tribunal, but she was later cleared in 2012. In the 8th assembly in 2015, Senator Oluremi Tinubu was one of six women among over 100 senators elected. The other women were Stella Oduah, Uche Ekwunife, Fatimat Raji Rasaki, Rose Okoji Oko, Binta Garba, and Oluremi Tinubu herself.

During the 2019 general elections, she retained her senatorial seat to represent Lagos Central, marking her third term in office. In 2016, there was a heated confrontation between Senator Oluremi Tinubu and her colleague Senator Dino Melaye during a closed-door session of the Senate. The issue led Senator Tinubu to request increased security from the Inspector General of Police due to alleged threats of assault.

On Wednesday, January 29, 2020, the former First Lady of Lagos and senator representing Lagos Central Senatorial District in the National Assembly called for the establishment of state police. She believed it was a way to address the rising insecurity in the country. She made the call during a plenary session on the floor of the upper legislative chamber. In March 2021, Senator Tinubu proposed a bill to reform the Nigerian Postal Service (NIPOST) to improve its operations.

During her tenure as the First Lady of Lagos State, Oluremi Tinubu established the New Era Foundation, a project dedicated to creating centers for the all-round development of young people and promoting public awareness of environmental health and community service.

The idea for the foundation came to Oluremi Tinubu during her husband’s exile period while they were involved in the pro-democracy struggle to end military rule in Nigeria. She mentioned that she stood by her husband during the challenging and prolonged exile that took a toll on their family.

In her statement about the foundation, Senator Tinubu expressed that it was during this time that the seed of the idea to inspire, encourage, and empower youth, especially the disadvantaged ones, began to grow in her mind. The New Era Foundation has benefitted numerous young individuals through its programs, positively impacting their lives.

Do these factors alone provide her with the necessary authority to effectively assert her influence within the presidential villa? Let us delve deeper into this matter in the following paragraphs to assess the extent of her potential sway.

Bola & Remi Tinubu

Will Oluremi Call The Shots?

In a notable occurrence, wherein Mrs. Tinubu was observed attending a meeting intended solely for high-profile government individuals, criticism was directed towards Mr. Tinubu for granting his wife the exclusive privilege to partake in such gatherings where sensitive matters were discussed. Many voiced their disapproval, emphasizing that the governance of a nation should not be confused with the management of their household, stating that while they may handle their family affairs as they please, it should not extend to familial influence in matters of state.

This action has sparked speculation regarding the influence of the First Lady in decision-making at Aso Rock. To investigate the validity of this claim, we will explore various aspects of this speculation and thoroughly examine each detail to determine its foundation.

Brief History

Based on historical events, there have been instances in Nigerian politics where First Ladies were perceived to have had significant influence or were speculated to “call the shots” in Aso Rock, the Nigerian Presidential Villa. However, it’s important to note that the extent of their influence varied and was often subject to debate and speculation.

While the influence of First Ladies in Nigerian politics has often been a subject of discussion and speculation, here are instances that have been cited in the past:

Maryam Babangida: As the wife of President Ibrahim Babangida (1985-1993), Maryam Babangida was known for her active involvement in social causes and her support for women’s rights. She initiated various initiatives and programs such as the Better Life for Rural Women program, which aimed to empower women in rural areas. Her influence and visibility led to suggestions that she had significant sway over her husband’s decision-making. Here is an excerpt from the book – The First Lady Syndrome and the Marginalisation of Women from Power:

Maryam Babangida often behaved as if she was the co-president of the country. According to Professor Bolaji Akinyemi, former Minister of Foreign Affairs, she summoned him one night to scold him over clashing dates for a cocktail reception she wished to organise for ECOWAS ambassadors and their wives. She apparently informed the Minister, in the presence of her husband, that she had “a joint-right with the President to appoint a new Minister of External Affairs” (The News, October 25, 1993). Shortly thereafter, Professor Akinyemi was sacked and a new Minister appointed. That event, Akinyemi claims, signalled the beginning of a “joint imperial presidency”.

In that “joint imperial presidency”, it was often assumed that Maryam was the real power behind the throne. Nigeria’s Nobel Laureate, the illustrious Wole Soyinka argued that rather than worrying about the President’s hidden agenda, Nigerians should be more worried about Maryam Babangida’s hidden agenda, given that “First Ladyism and its attendant sycophancy had burgeoned into outrageous proportions” (Tempo, November 17, 1994). It was widely assumed, for example, that major state appointments depended on the whims and caprices of the First Lady

The author, and source of the book where the excerpt was extracted will be provided at the end of this article.

Stella Obasanjo: During the presidency of Olusegun Obasanjo (1999-2007), his wife Stella Obasanjo was seen as influential and had her own initiatives. She spearheaded programs such as the Child Care Trust and Women Rights Advancement and Protection Alternative (WRAPA). Her role as the First Lady was viewed by some as extending beyond ceremonial duties, and she was considered to have an impact on her husband’s decision-making process. Here is an excerpt from the same book with regard to the clash she had with other First Ladies

The increasingly crowded arena of elite women’s activities and organisations operating in Nigeria has not found favour with the First Lady herself. On 24 June 2003, Stella Obasanjo called the wives of the state governors to Abuja and publicly declared in front of television cameras that: “There is only one First Lady in Nigeria. Period.” (Africawoman no 4, 2003: 1).

She went on to warn them to stop using the title First Lady of their husband’s states, and to revert to their proper title of governor’s wives. They were also directed to stop receiving the wife of the Vice-President when she visited their states. Wole Soyinka was so shocked by this performance, which was shown on national television, that he declared: Mrs Obasanjo clearly has an ego that is bigger than those of the two Maryams. She is probably in the same league with Imelda Marcos and … Marie Antoinette, wife of the last French monarch (The News, 3 July 2003).

Turai Yar’Adua: Turai Yar’Adua, the wife of President Umaru Musa Yar’Adua (2007-2010), was seen by some as a powerful figure during her husband’s presidency. She was actively involved in his political affairs and was reportedly influential in the appointment of key government officials. However, her perceived influence was met with criticism and accusations of interfering in governance matters. Here is an excerpt from the article titled- “Her imperial majesty, Turai Yar’adua-TELL magazine”, available at https://saharareporters.com/,

For discerning persons who know how the Yar’Adua administration has worked since inception, the controversy that Vice President Goodluck Jonathan called Turai Yar’Adua, the first lady, to get directives on performing the duties of the president is really no news. With the structure at the seat of power in Abuja, it would not have been surprising to Aso Rock insiders that Jonathan called Turai to intimate her of political developments.

Patience Jonathan: During the presidency of Goodluck Jonathan (2010-2015), his wife, Patience Jonathan, was believed by some to have wielded significant influence. She was often seen as actively involved in political affairs and was vocal about her opinions on various issues. However, the degree to which she influenced policy decisions or governance matters remains a matter of perception and conjecture.

Will Remi Tinubu toe the line of her predecessors or trail a new course for herself?

It’s important to note that the influence and involvement of First Ladies can vary depending on the individual, their relationship with the President, and the political climate of the time. It’s important to approach the topic with a balanced perspective, considering both positive and negative viewpoints.

Also, it’s worth mentioning that the role of the First Lady in Nigeria, as in many countries, is typically unofficial and ceremonial. Their influence is largely dependent on the personality and actions of the individual First Lady, as well as the dynamics within the administration. The Nigerian Constitution does not grant any constitutional powers or official responsibilities to the position of the First Lady.

Although the role of the First Lady is not an official position, it can wield considerable influence and impact decision-making processes. However, it is essential to consider certain factors that may limit Remi Tinubu’s direct influence over President Tinubu’s decisions:

1. Informal Role: Remi Tinubu’s role as the First Lady is primarily informal and ceremonial, centered around advocacy, social causes, and supporting the President. While she may have the President’s ear on personal matters, her influence over policy decisions and governance is likely to be indirect due to the traditional and informal nature of the position. Her primary focus lies in advocacy, community development, and representing the President on specific occasions rather than direct involvement in the decision-making process.
2. Focus on Social Issues: The First Lady often prioritizes social causes and community development initiatives. While these efforts can shape public opinion and indirectly influence the President’s decisions, they may not directly impact the policy-making process or determine the shot caller in Aso Rock.
3. Lack of Constitutional Authority: Unlike the President, Vice President, or Chief of Staff, the First Lady does not hold any constitutional authority or official position within the government. This absence of a formal role diminishes the direct influence she can exert over policy decisions and administrative matters in Aso Rock.
4. Limited Political Experience: Remi Tinubu’s background primarily revolves around her role as a senator and her involvement in social causes. While she may possess valuable insights and perspectives, her limited experience in policy formulation and governance may reduce her influence over critical decision-making processes.
5. Focus on Personal Initiatives: As the First Lady, Remi Tinubu is likely to prioritize personal initiatives and social causes that align with her interests. While these endeavors contribute to her public image and influence, they may not necessarily translate into the ability to call the shots in Aso Rock, which requires a broader understanding of complex political, economic, and social issues.
6. Lack of Direct Access: While Remi Tinubu may have the President’s ear on personal matters and private discussions, her access to the President’s decision-making process may be limited. There are other key figures that may play a more prominent role in shaping the President’s agenda and determining the course of action, leaving less room for direct influence from the First Lady.

While Remi Tinubu may have the President’s ear on personal matters and private discussions, her level of influence over the President’s decision-making process remains a subject of speculation. As the story unfolds, we will delve deeper into the dynamics between the Chief of Staff, Vice President, and the First Lady to uncover who truly wields more power and shapes the course of action.

Kashim Shettima

Derived from the Muslim-Muslim ticket that secured the presidential election victory for Mr. Kashim Shettima and Mr. Tinubu in Nigeria, speculations have emerged regarding Mr. Shettima’s agenda in leading the nation. However, does he truly wield authority at Aso Rock? We shall delve into this shortly, but first, let us explore some fundamental facts about his life and political career.

Kashim Shettima

Who is Kashim Shettima?

Kashim Shettima, born on September 2, 1966, in Maiduguri, the capital of Borno State, Nigeria, has had a remarkable political career. Despite considering himself a lucky politician, he has worked hard to achieve success. Shettima began his professional life as a university lecturer before transitioning to a career in banking. In 2007, he decided to enter politics, marking a significant turning point in his life.

Shettima’s educational background includes attending Lamisula Primary School in Maiduguri from 1972 to 1978. He started his secondary education at Government Community Secondary School in Biu, Borno State, and later transferred to Government Science Secondary School in Potiskum, where he completed his secondary education. He pursued Agricultural Economics for both his first and second degrees at the University of Maiduguri and the University of Ibadan, respectively.

After completing his first degree in 1989, Shettima worked at the Nigerian Agricultural Cooperative Bank as a youth corps member in Cross River State. He returned to Maiduguri and began lecturing at the University of Maiduguri until 1993. Following his tenure at the university, Shettima joined the Commercial Bank of Africa, where he held the position of Head of Accounts in Lagos. He then joined the African International Bank in Kaduna as deputy manager in 1997 and eventually became bank manager.

In 2001, Shettima joined Zenith Bank, where he spent six years and rose through the ranks. He held various positions, including head of the Maiduguri main branch and zonal head (Assistant General Manager) of the Northeast region. In 2007, he left the bank as a general manager when he was appointed commissioner by the governor of Borno State at the time, Ali Modu-Sheriff.

As a commissioner, Shettima initially served in the Ministry of Finance and Economic Development but later worked in four other ministries: Local Government and Chieftaincy Affairs, Education, Agriculture, and Health. His dedication and competence led to his appointment as the governor of Borno State, although he did not originally aspire to the position.

Shettima became the governor as a replacement candidate for Modu Fannami-Gubio, who was assassinated by Boko Haram insurgents in January 2011. Despite facing allegations of involvement in the assassination, Shettima won the governorship election. Throughout his tenure, he faced controversies, including accusations by his predecessor, Ali Modu-Sheriff, that he was responsible for the rise of Boko Haram. Shettima vehemently denied these allegations and accused Modu-Sheriff of financing the terror group.

During his time as governor, Shettima also faced challenges related to security issues, notably the abduction of 276 pupils from Government Secondary School in Chibok in 2014. President Goodluck Jonathan and his party, the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), accused Shettima of orchestrating the abduction to benefit his new party, the All Progressives Congress (APC). Despite these allegations, Shettima maintained his integrity and refuted the claims. He argued that it was the responsibility of the president to reach out to governors in states dealing with insecurity.

After completing his tenure as governor, Shettima successfully contested and won the election to represent Borno Central District in the Senate. In a surprising turn of events, he was appointed as the running mate of Bola Tinubu, the presidential candidate of the All Progressives Congress (APC), on July 20, 2022. Tinubu justified his choice by citing Shettima’s strong leadership abilities exhibited during his time as governor and his commitment to progressive governance.

As Nigeria’s vice president, Shettima faces the daunting task of governing the country alongside President Tinubu, and this has brought about the question, does he call the shots? We will examine that in the following paragraphs. But before we do so, let’s explore another interesting concept – Roles of The Vice President. We would only be giving a brief explanation on this, so be informed that the role of the vice president exceeds what we will be giving.

Roles of The Vice President

Their responsibilities are intricately tied to the extent of authority bestowed upon them by the President, as dictated by the 1999 Constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria. Let’s delve into the functions of the Nigerian Vice President.

• Assuming the Authority of the President as Acting President: As stipulated in the constitution, the Vice President possesses the legal right to take charge in the President’s absence under specific circumstances outlined therein. For instance, when the former President was away for medical checkups, the Vice President, as the Acting President, wields his legal power, and dismissed Lawal Daura from his position as the DG of DSS.
• Exercising Delegated Powers from the President: Additionally, the Vice President’s role involves executing tasks and wielding powers delegated to them by the President. This may encompass a broad spectrum, ranging from representing the President in executive gatherings to spearheading projects that would typically fall under the President’s purview.
• Active Participation and Chairing of Cabinet Meetings: Just as mentioned earlier, a significant portion of the Vice President’s duties revolves around acting as a surrogate for the President, particularly during cabinet meetings where they engage with ministers. The cabinet, acting as an advisory body to the President, entrusts the Vice President with the responsibility of chairing these meetings in the absence of the President.

Now, to the main question.

Will Mr. Kashim Shettima Call The Shots In Aso Rock?

As the Vice President, Kashim Shettima holds a constitutional position that carries significant weight. However, several factors may limit his influence over President Tinubu’s decisions and his ability to call the shots in Aso Rock, and here are the factors:

1. Constitutional Limitations: The Vice President, Kashim Shettima, has a constitutional role that primarily involves supporting the President, overseeing specific tasks assigned by the President, and assuming leadership in the President’s absence. However, it is important to note that the Nigerian Constitution places limitations on the Vice President’s powers, defining their role as more supportive rather than that of a decision-maker. While the Vice President can provide advice and contribute to policy discussions, the ultimate authority for decision-making resides with the President.

2. Alignment with President’s Agenda: While Kashim Shettima may share a political affiliation with President Bola Tinubu and have a close working relationship, it does not automatically guarantee that he can call the shots in Aso Rock. The President’s agenda and priorities are ultimately determined by their own vision and political strategy. While the Vice President can provide guidance and influence, the President retains the final say in decision-making processes. Here is an excerpt taken from The Punch article titled “Buhari’s return: Aso Villa cabal stages a comeback, sidelines Osinbajo” obtained from punchng.com:

The Buhari presidency has been dogged by persistent rumours and speculation that a group comprising some members of the President’s extended family and friends are the powers behind the throne. This group is said to have the ear of the President, influence policy-making and determine those who get major appointments.

Among those identified as being members of the cabal were: the President’s nephew, Mamman Daura; the father to the Minister of the Federal Capital Territory (Muhammed Bello) Musa Bello; the President’s Chief of Staff, Abba Kyari; Samaila Isa Funtua and a few others.

A chieftain of the Arewa Consultative Forum, Alhaji Mohammed Abdulrahman, who also said he was a member of the famed Kaduna Mafia, confirmed the existence of the cabal and its undue influence on the President. He added that the most powerful member of the group had always exerted a great deal of influence on Buhari right from his days as a military head of state.

According to him, Gen. Tunde Idiagbon, Buhari’s lieutenant during his time as a military head of state, often complained about the hold that Daura had on Buhari.

“Since his days as the military head of state, Buhari has been under the influence of Daura. It was because of the funny ways Daura and his people acted during Buhari’s regime that led IBB to overthrow him. You know what? Even Tunde Idiagbon complained about Mamman Daura.

“Whenever we went to Lagos in those days, we spent some time in his house and discussed national issues. Idiagbon discussed with us most of the actions he was taking then. Idiagbon said people like Daura were manipulating him (Buhari),” Abdulrahman disclosed.

Mohammed added that the cabal perfected a strategy that had helped them to sideline the vice president. “What they do is, they make sure they second-guess Osinbajo, what he’s going to do and then they go ahead and get Buhari to commit to a contrary opinion or a contrary line of action. They first try to see what he is likely to do; they don’t go and tell Buhari, ‘This is what Osinbajo is planning to do.’

They get Buhari to commit — sometimes, publicly — to a view, policy or thrust, which is contrary to what Osinbajo has been trying to bring up as a policy. They do that by frustrating him (the vice president) and making sure that he doesn’t have his way.”

This further underscores the constraints on the Vice President’s authority and the likelihood of him assuming the role of the “shots caller” in Aso Rock.

3. Division of Responsibilities: In a presidential system like Nigeria, the President and Vice President often have different areas of responsibility. The Vice President is typically assigned specific tasks, such as representing the President at official functions, overseeing certain government agencies, or leading specific initiatives. While these responsibilities are important, they may not encompass the broader decision-making and policy formulation processes that occur within Aso Rock.

4. Limited Control over Administrative Machinery: The Vice President generally does not have direct control over the administrative machinery of the presidency. The Chief of Staff and other key officials, who are responsible for managing the day-to-day operations of the presidency, typically hold more influence and control over the decision-making process. The Vice President’s role is more supportive and collaborative in nature, working closely with the President and other officials to advance the government’s agenda.

5. President’s Autonomy: Ultimately, the President has the autonomy and authority to make final decisions on policy matters and governance issues. While the Vice President’s input and advice are valuable, the President is not bound to accept or implement all recommendations. The President’s decision-making process is influenced by various factors, including political considerations, expert advice, and public opinion, which may limit the extent of the Vice President’s ability to call the shots.

It is important to recognize that the Vice President plays a significant role in the government and can provide valuable insights and support to the President. However, when it comes to being a shot caller in Aso Rock, the President and other key officials typically hold more direct influence and decision-making authority.

Seyi Tinubu

Before we proceed to our final candidate, let us first acquaint ourselves with Seyi Tinubu, the son of Mr. Bola Tinubu. The question arises: will Bola Tinubu leverage his considerable influence in the Nigerian political landscape to elevate his son’s status as a powerful political figure? Only Mr. Tinubu himself can provide a definitive answer. However, we shall now examine the speculation surrounding Seyi Tinubu’s potential sway in Aso Rock, the nucleus of Nigeria’s political power.

Oluwaseyi Tinubu

Seyi Tinubu is a Nigerian businessman and entrepreneur. He is the son of Bola Ahmed Tinubu. Seyi Tinubu is the founder and CEO of Loatsad Promomedia, a leading outdoor advertising company in Nigeria. He is known for his contributions to the advertising and media industry in Nigeria, as well as his involvement in various philanthropic initiatives. Seyi Tinubu is also a member of the board of several companies and holds key positions in different business ventures.

While Seyi Tinubu may have a close familial connection to the President as the son of Tinubu, there are several compelling reasons why it is unlikely that he would be able to call the shots in Aso Rock:

1. Separation of Roles: In the Nigerian political system, there is a clear separation between familial relationships and official roles. The President holds the highest executive authority, and decisions are typically made based on constitutional and political considerations rather than personal relationships. The fact that Seyi Tinubu is the son of the President does not automatically grant him decision-making power or the ability to influence policy matters.
2. Constitutional Limitations: The Nigerian Constitution delineates the powers and responsibilities of different branches of government. The President is the head of the executive branch, while Seyi Tinubu does not hold an official position within the government. As such, his influence over policy decisions and governance matters would be limited by the constitutional framework.
3. Established Power Structures: Aso Rock operates within a well-established bureaucratic and administrative framework. Key decision-making processes involve the President, top government officials, advisors, and experts in various fields. These individuals play significant roles in shaping policies and strategies, and their expertise and experience guide the decision-making process. Seyi Tinubu’s absence from these established power structures would make it difficult for him to exert significant influence over Aso Rock’s affairs.
4. Political Dynamics: Nigerian politics is a complex arena influenced by various power dynamics, interest groups, and political alliances. While familial ties can provide some level of access and influence, it is important to recognize that political power is often shaped by broader factors such as political parties, public opinion, and the need to maintain a balanced and inclusive government. These dynamics can limit the extent to which an individual like Seyi Tinubu, solely based on familial ties, can assert dominance or call the shots in Aso Rock.

Though Seyi Tinubu’s familial relationship to the President may grant him certain privileges and access, it is unlikely that he would have the ability to call the shots in Aso Rock due to the separation of roles, constitutional limitations, established power structures, and broader political dynamics that shape decision-making processes in Nigerian government.

Femi Gbajabiamila

Will Femi Gbajabiamila call the shots in Aso Rock? We will delve into this in a bit, but before that, let us meet Femi Gbajabiamila

Rt Hon. Femi Gbajabiamila

Who is Femi Gbajabiamila?

Femi Gbajabiamila is a prominent Nigerian politician who currently serves as the Chief of Staff for Mr. Tinubu. He has had an active and successful political career spanning over two decades.

Born on June 25, 1962, Gbajabiamila received his secondary education at Igbobi College in Lagos before pursuing his Advanced Level studies at King Williams College in the United Kingdom. He graduated with honors from the University of Lagos, where he obtained a Bachelor of Laws (LLB) degree in 1983 and was subsequently called to the Nigerian Bar in 1984.

Gbajabiamila began his career as a lawyer, working at the law firm of Bentley, Edu and Co. He later established his own practice, Femi Gbaja and Co., before furthering his education in the United States. He attended the John Marshall Law School in Atlanta, Georgia, where he graduated with a Juris Doctor (JD) degree, earning the distinction of Magna Cum Laude. He also passed the Georgia Bar exams and established another successful law office before returning to Nigeria.

In the realm of politics, Gbajabiamila joined the Alliance for Democracy (AD) and contested for a seat in the National Assembly, representing the Surulere 1 Federal Constituency of Lagos. He was elected as a member of the House of Representatives in 2003, a position he has been reelected to for six consecutive terms. Known for his dedication to the concerns of his constituents and his passion for national issues, Gbajabiamila quickly gained recognition as a competent and influential legislator.

Throughout his political career, Gbajabiamila has held several significant positions. He served as the Leader of the Action Congress (AC) in the House of Representatives and as the Minority Whip. His exceptional legislative record includes sponsoring a high number of bills, making him one of the most active lawmakers in the National Assembly.

In 2014, Gbajabiamila played a pivotal role in the merger that led to the formation of the All Progressives Congress (APC), which subsequently became the majority party in the House of Representatives. In 2019, he ran for the position of Speaker of the House and was overwhelmingly elected to the position. As Speaker, Gbajabiamila has emphasized the importance of unity and inclusivity, ensuring that all voices are heard and that the majority’s viewpoints are duly considered.

Under Gbajabiamila’s leadership, the House of Representatives has pursued an ambitious legislative agenda. Notably, they achieved the goal of returning the country to a regular January-to-December budget cycle, a significant accomplishment. Gbajabiamila has been committed to addressing the challenges faced by Nigerians, sponsoring bills focused on education, economic stimulus, healthcare, and the protection of citizens’ rights.

Furthermore, Gbajabiamila has been actively involved in international parliamentary activities. He chairs the Conference of African Speakers of Parliament (COSAP), demonstrating his leadership capabilities and commitment to regional cooperation.

Throughout his political journey, Gbajabiamila has displayed a strong commitment to public service and has continually sought opportunities to enhance his leadership skills. He has attended leadership courses at prestigious institutions such as Stanford University, Cambridge University, and Oxford University’s Said Business School.

Femi Gbajabiamila’s political career has been marked by his dedication to effective representation, legislative excellence, and his pursuit of policies that benefit the Nigerian people. As Speaker of the House of Representatives, he played a crucial role in shaping Nigeria’s legislative landscape and promoting the welfare of its citizens.

Will Femi Gbajabiamila Call The Shots In Aso Rock?

When discussing Gbajabiamila, the current Chief of Staff, it is essential to acknowledge the significant role played by Abba Kyari, the former Chief of Staff under President Buhari’s administration. In order to understand Gbajabiamila’s position, it is crucial to explore the influence and impact of Abba Kyari on the decision-making process.

Within the corridors of power in Nigeria, the political landscape is often marked by behind-the-scenes power struggles and influential figures who shape the nation’s direction. One such figure was Abba Kyari, the late Chief of Staff to President Muhammadu Buhari, whose tenure was characterized by immense power, controversy, and allegations of hijacking the government. Despite his unfortunate demise due to COVID-19, the legacy of Abba Kyari continues to resonate, shedding light on the intricate web of power dynamics in Nigerian politics.

Abba Kyari

Abba Kyari’s rise to power was marked by his strong educational background and extensive experience in both the legal and business sectors. With degrees from prestigious universities and a successful career in various organizations, he entered the political realm as Buhari’s Chief of Staff in 2015. However, it was Kyari’s role within the Buhari administration that truly showcased his prowess in high-stakes politics and power games.

As the Chief of Staff, Kyari was widely perceived as the de facto President of Nigeria, with an unparalleled level of influence and control over government affairs. This perception was further fueled by his membership in the so-called “cabal,” a group of influential individuals who were considered the driving force behind the President’s decisions. This position of power came with its fair share of controversies, with critics accusing Kyari of hijacking the government and making decisions that were detrimental to the nation.

One of the most vocal opponents of Abba Kyari’s influence was Aisha Buhari, the First Lady of Nigeria. Mrs. Buhari engaged in bitter battles with Kyari and his ally, Mamman Daura, accusing them of undermining her husband’s administration. In a widely publicized statement, she claimed that the government had been hijacked by a cabal, and many of those appointed to key positions were unknown to the President himself. These accusations further deepened the divisions within the corridors of power.

The power dynamics between Abba Kyari and other key figures became evident when Governor Nasir el-Rufai of Kaduna State openly criticized Kyari’s lack of political experience and his interference in matters of national security. In a memo addressed to President Buhari, el-Rufai accused Kyari of being clueless and inexperienced, highlighting the detrimental impact on governance and decision-making.

Another significant episode that shed light on Abba Kyari’s power was the leaked memo from the National Security Adviser, Babagana Monguno. The memo accused Kyari of meddling in national security affairs and issuing directives to service chiefs without the President’s knowledge or approval. This revelation reinforced the belief that Kyari was, indeed, the unseen hand pulling the strings behind the scenes.

WIll Femi Gbajabiamila Follow Suit With His Predecessor, Abba Kyari?

As we embark on an exploration of the potential factors that could contribute to the recently appointed Chief of Staff (CoS) being the shot caller in Aso Rock, it is imperative to delve into the intricate dynamics of the symbiotic relationship shared between Gbajabiamila and Mr. Tinubu

Analyzing the Mutualistic Relationship between Mr. Tinubu and His Newly Appointed Chief of Staff

The appointment of the Speaker of the House of Representatives as the Chief of Staff to Mr. Tinubu presents a potentially mutualistic relationship. Bola Tinubu, as the president, can leverage the influence and experience of the former speaker to navigate the legislative process and potentially garner support for bills or policies in his favor.

As a man of significant influence in Nigerian politics, Bola Tinubu’s decision to appoint the former speaker as his Chief of Staff signifies a strategic move to capitalize on the speaker’s knowledge and connections within the House of Representatives. With the speaker’s previous experience in leading the legislative body, his appointment could facilitate smoother communication and understanding between the executive and legislative branches of government.

One potential benefit of this mutualistic relationship lies in the facilitation of bill approval. The speaker’s familiarity with the inner workings of the House of Representatives and their relationships with other lawmakers could enhance President Tinubu’s ability to navigate the legislative process effectively. The former speaker’s influence and rapport with members of the House may help garner support for bills and policies proposed by President Tinubu, increasing the likelihood of their successful passage.

Moreover, the appointment of the former speaker as Chief of Staff could contribute to a more streamlined and coordinated approach to governance. The Chief of Staff plays a pivotal role in advising the president and coordinating activities within the executive office. By selecting an individual with a background in legislative affairs, Mr. Tinubu demonstrates his commitment to a cohesive relationship between the executive and legislative branches. This close collaboration may foster a better understanding of the president’s agenda among lawmakers and facilitate smoother cooperation in advancing their shared objectives.

Overall, the appointment of the former speaker as Chief of Staff offers potential benefits for Mr. Tinubu in advancing his legislative agenda. The mutualistic nature of this relationship allows for the exchange of influence and expertise between the executive and legislative branches, increasing the chances of successful bill approval and fostering a more coordinated approach to governance.

Exploring Gbajabiamila’s chances of calling the shots

The appointment of the former Speaker of the House of Representatives, Gbajabiamila, as the Chief of Staff to President Tinubu could potentially empower Gbajabiamila in wielding influence and calling the shots within the Aso Rock Presidential Villa. Here’s how:

1. Legislative Influence: Gbajabiamila’s background as the former Speaker of the House of Representatives provides him with substantial knowledge and connections within the legislative branch. As Chief of Staff, he can leverage this experience to navigate the intricacies of the legislative process, engage with lawmakers, and influence the passage of bills in favor of President Tinubu’s agenda. This influence allows Gbajabiamila to have a significant say in shaping and advancing the president’s policies and priorities.
2. Strategic Decision-Making: As Chief of Staff, Gbajabiamila assumes a crucial role in advising the president on matters of policy, strategy, and governance. His experience in leading the House of Representatives equips him with the skills to analyze political dynamics, anticipate potential obstacles, and develop effective strategies for achieving desired outcomes. This positions Gbajabiamila to have a strong influence in decision-making processes within the Aso Rock Presidential Villa, ensuring that his insights and recommendations are taken into account when formulating policies or making critical decisions.
3. Coordinating Executive Functions: The Chief of Staff acts as a central figure responsible for coordinating activities within the executive office. With Gbajabiamila’s appointment, his understanding of the legislative process and relationships with lawmakers can facilitate smoother coordination between the executive and legislative branches. This allows him to strategically align executive actions with legislative priorities and foster cooperation between the two branches of government. Gbajabiamila’s position as Chief of Staff affords him the authority to ensure that the president’s policies and initiatives are effectively communicated, implemented, and aligned with the legislative agenda.
4. Influencing Access and Audience: The Chief of Staff serves as a gatekeeper, controlling access to the president and determining who has an audience with them. Gbajabiamila’s influential position as Chief of Staff allows him to influence who can meet with President Tinubu, giving him the ability to shape the flow of information and the perspectives that reach the president. This grants Gbajabiamila significant power in filtering and prioritizing the issues, concerns, and policy proposals presented to the president, ultimately influencing the decisions made within the Aso Rock Presidential Villa.
5. Gbajabiamila’s Unwavering Loyalty to Tinubu: Gbajabiamila’s long-standing loyalty to Tinubu serves as a crucial factor in his ability to influence decision-making. As a political protégé, Gbajabiamila deeply respects and admires Tinubu’s political acumen and strategies. This loyalty creates a strong bond between them, ensuring that Gbajabiamila is aligned with Tinubu’s vision and objectives. Given Tinubu’s penchant for rewarding loyalty, Gbajabiamila’s unwavering commitment positions him favorably in terms of being able to exercise influence within the Aso Rock Presidential Villa.
6. Track Record of Rewarding Loyalty: Tinubu’s history of rewarding loyalty strengthens Gbajabiamila’s position as Chief of Staff. Tinubu recognizes and values unwavering support, often bestowing favors, appointments, and influential positions to those who have displayed loyalty. Gbajabiamila’s appointment as Chief of Staff can be viewed as a testament to Tinubu’s appreciation for his steadfast commitment. This mutual trust and reward system foster a conducive environment for Gbajabiamila to have a significant say in decision-making processes.
7. Singularity of Purpose and Similarity in Thinking: The alignment of purpose and thinking between Tinubu and Gbajabiamila enhances the latter’s ability to call the shots. Gbajabiamila’s introduction of the student loan bill in 2016, which was later signed by Tinubu, demonstrates a shared agenda and vision. Their cohesive approach and shared goals establish a strong foundation for effective collaboration and coordination. With Gbajabiamila serving as Chief of Staff, his close relationship and harmonious thinking with Tinubu enable him to champion policies and bills aligned with the president’s agenda, thereby influencing decision-making processes.
8. Tinubu as Gbajabiamila’s Political Father: The close relationship between Gbajabiamila and Tinubu, characterized by support and endorsement, provides a favorable position for Gbajabiamila to call the shots. Tinubu actively supported Gbajabiamila’s bid for the speakership position in the past, demonstrating their strong bond. This support from Tinubu, a highly influential political figure, has played a significant role in shaping Gbajabiamila’s political career. As Chief of Staff, Gbajabiamila’s strong ties with Tinubu give him added leverage in influencing decision-making within the Aso Rock Presidential Villa.
9. Contribution to APC Majority Control: Gbajabiamila’s role in the transition of power dynamics within the House of Representatives, where the APC gained majority control, adds to his influence and ability to call the shots. As the majority leader, Gbajabiamila played a crucial part in facilitating the party’s dominance in the 9th assembly. This experience positions him as a key figure with significant influence within the legislative branch. His understanding of legislative dynamics, combined with his role as Chief of Staff, empowers him to advocate for President Tinubu’s policies and garner support from fellow lawmakers, further solidifying his ability to call the shots.

Overall, Gbajabiamila’s appointment as Chief of Staff enables him to exert influence and call the shots within the Aso Rock Presidential Villa by leveraging his legislative experience, contributing to strategic decision-making, coordinating executive functions, and controlling access to the president. This positions him as a key figure in Mr. Tinubu’s administration, empowering him to shape policies, advocate for legislative priorities, and contribute to the effective functioning of the executive branch.

Power Projection in the Current Administration

As Nigeria transitions to a new administration, the question arises: who holds immense power among the Vice President, the First Lady, and the Chief of Staff? While the Vice President typically wields significant authority, the influence of the First Lady should not be underestimated. Historically, First Ladies in Nigeria have played influential roles, advocating for social causes and exerting behind-the-scenes influence. However, the Chief of Staff remains a crucial figure, acting as a gatekeeper and advisor to the President.

Strength and Limitations of The CoS, First Lady, and VP

Before concluding, it is prudent to provide a concise summary of the capabilities and constraints associated with the Chief of Staff, the First Lady, and the Vice President as potential contenders for assuming authority in the decision-making realm of the Aso Rock. By assessing their respective strengths and limitations, we can gain a comprehensive understanding of their potential influence and ability to assert control within the corridors of power.

Here are some reasons why each individual may or may not have a chance of calling the shots:

1. Gbajabiamila (Chief of Staff):

• Legislative Expertise and Influence: Gbajabiamila’s background as the former Speaker of the House of Representatives grants him a deep understanding of the legislative process and established relationships with lawmakers. This expertise and influence can give him the ability to navigate political dynamics and mobilize support for President Tinubu’s agenda, potentially positioning him to call the shots.
• Strategic Position and Decision-Making Authority: As Chief of Staff, Gbajabiamila holds a pivotal role in advising the president, coordinating executive functions, and shaping decision-making processes. This position affords him the opportunity to provide strategic guidance, control access to the president, and exert influence over policy formulation and implementation.
• Limitations: While Gbajabiamila possesses considerable influence, his power ultimately depends on President Tinubu’s willingness to delegate decision-making authority and rely on his advice. The extent to which Gbajabiamila can call the shots may be influenced by the president’s personal preferences, the presence of other influential advisers, or power dynamics within the administration.

2. Oluremi Tinubu (First Lady):

• Informal Influence and Advocacy: First Ladies in Nigeria often wield significant influence by advocating for social causes and using their platform to shape public opinion. Through their close relationship with the president, First Ladies can influence policy decisions, appointments, and the overall direction of the administration. Their ability to mobilize public support and exert behind-the-scenes influence can give them a chance to call the shots.
• Personal Relationship and Trust: The First Lady’s unique access to the president and their personal relationship can provide her with a level of influence that extends beyond formal roles. The president may rely on the First Lady’s insights and perspectives, giving her a prominent voice in decision-making processes within Aso Rock.
• Limitations: The extent of the First Lady’s influence depends on the president’s receptiveness to her input, the dynamics of their relationship, and potential competing interests within the administration. The First Lady’s ability to call the shots may be influenced by the president’s desire to maintain a clear separation between personal and executive matters or by the presence of other influential advisers.

3. Kashim Shettima (Vice President):

• Constitutional Position and Role: The Vice President holds a constitutional position as the second-highest-ranking official in the executive branch. As such, they are expected to have a significant role in governance, policy formulation, and decision-making. The Vice President’s proximity to the president and access to high-level discussions can provide them with opportunities to call the shots.
• Balance of Power and Influence: The Vice President’s influence within Aso Rock depends on the specific dynamics between them and the president. If the president values the Vice President’s input and trusts their judgment, they may have substantial decision-making authority. Additionally, the Vice President’s role in representing the administration to the public and engaging with stakeholders can contribute to their overall influence.
• Limitations: The Vice President’s ability to call the shots can be influenced by the president’s leadership style, the level of trust and rapport between them, and the division of responsibilities within the administration. The extent of the Vice President’s influence may also vary depending on the president’s willingness to share power and delegate authority.

Drawing The Curtain

In the complex power dynamics within Aso Rock, the Chief of Staff, the First Lady, and the Vice President all have the potential to exert influence and call the shots to varying degrees. The extent of their power depends on the president’s preferences, their individual roles, the dynamics of their relationships, and the ability to leverage their positions effectively

However, the appointment of Femi Gbajabiamila as Chief of Staff to President Tinubu holds significant implications for power dynamics in the Nigerian political landscape. Gbajabiamila’s unwavering loyalty to Tinubu, his track record of being Tinubu’s political protégé, and the history of rewarding loyalty exhibited by Tinubu suggest a strong bond between the two. This relationship, coupled with Gbajabiamila’s role in the majority party and his alignment with Tinubu’s political agenda, positions him to have a substantial influence in decision-making and shaping policies within the government.

Moreover, as the President’s Chief of Staff, Gbajabiamila holds a pivotal position that grants him direct access to President Tinubu, making him a key intermediary and influential figure in political matters. The Chief of Staff serves as a gateway to the President, enabling him to have significant influence on the flow of information and decision-making processes.

Drawing parallels to the past administration and the influence wielded by Abba Kyari as Chief of Staff, it becomes evident that the role carries immense power and authority. Gbajabiamila’s proximity to President Tinubu and his deep understanding of Tinubu’s political strategies and objectives further strengthens his position as a key decision-maker within the government.

With Gbajabiamila’s appointment as Chief of Staff, coupled with his loyalty to Tinubu, his past contributions to the party’s dominance, and his alignment with Tinubu’s vision, it is likely that he will play a crucial role in influencing policy decisions and ensuring the successful passage of bills in favor of President Tinubu’s agenda. The symbiotic relationship between Gbajabiamila and Tinubu sets the stage for a dynamic power dynamic, where Gbajabiamila’s position as Chief of Staff grants him the authority to call the shots and exert considerable influence within Aso Rock.

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As promised, here is the link to the book cited in this article:

The First Lady Syndrome and the Marginalisation of Women from Power
Author(s): Jibrin Ibrahim
Source: Feminist Africa , 2004, No. 3, National Politricks (2004)
Published by: Institute of African Studies
Stable URL: https://www.jstor.org/stable/10.2307/48726026