Nigeria Decides 2023: Peter Obi Leads Tinubu, Others, In New Election Poll

The presidential candidate of the Labour Party Mr Peter Obi has emerged victorious in an independent Reportera poll organized for rural and sub-urban dwellers ahead of Tinubu, Atiku and Kwankwaso who are the frontrunners for the February 25th presidential elections in Nigeria.

This independent poll conducted in the remote areas of rural and suburban settlements using statistical instruments with empirical data sampled from the country’s 36 states including the FCT projects Peter Obi of LP for a victory in the first ballot of the 2023 presidential elections, if only rural voters were considered.

For this poll, 740 respondents aged between 18 and 55 (20 respondents per state) filled out a questionnaire where they indicated their preferred candidate amongst the top 4 candidates for the Aso rock top job.

Peter Obi of LP (38%) edged out Ahmed Tinubu of APC (33%) to take the lead while the PDP candidate former VP Atiku Abubakar trailed them closely with a quarter of the respondents voting in his favour at 26%.

The top 3 candidates are all projected to score the INEC required minimum of 25% of the votes cast across 24 states, only Kwankwaso of NNPP will most likely not meet up with this clause.

Why rural poll?

Previous polls have been heavily criticized for sampling population in the more liberal urban centers and state capitals of the country which doesn’t truly represent the electorate.

Some political commentators have argued that there are more voters in the cumulative rural areas of a state as opposed to just their state’s capital.

The Labour Party candidate has come top in previous polls so this time, we decided to focus on the rural areas to get a different analytical point of reference ahead of the February 25th presidential election.

For example, instead of collecting data from Minna(Niger state) which is a capital city, we opted for the far less developed Kabas, Madara, Kagara etc. which affords us a very different viewpoint on the candidates popularity across rural settlements.

For complete poll results and voter/respondents analysis, send email to admin@reportera_admin

See Also: See Also: Peter Obi: Over 150 Groups Drums Support For The Labour Party Presidential Candidate