Obaseki – In the intricate realm of politics, Edo state stands as a captivating stage where power dynamics unfold with fervor and ambition. As the 2024 election looms nearer, the landscape becomes more convoluted, entwined with the machinations of key figures yearning for the esteemed position of Edo State Governor.

In this realm of calculated moves and clashing interests, power struggles, rivalries, and strategic alliances mold the fate of this pivotal race. Among the contenders, figures like Godwin Obaseki and Adams Oshiomhole cast long shadows, their influence poised to shape the ultimate outcome of this political spectacle. Join us as we embark on an exploration of the intricacies that animate Edo state politics, unraveling the complex tapestry of players, alliances, and the profound impact they may wield in the forthcoming election.

Jostling for Position

As the 2024 governorship election in Edo State draws closer, political aspirants are embarking on a strategic and intense jostle for position. With only a little over a year remaining, the race to win the support of the electorate and secure a path to victory is well underway. In this high-stakes environment, the question of which senatorial district should produce the next governor becomes a pivotal point of contention. However, the resurfacing rivalry between Governor Godwin Obaseki and Senator Adams Oshiomhole adds an intriguing dynamic that promises to captivate attention and shape the course of events.

The intricate political maneuvering taking place among the aspirants reflects the fierce competition to position themselves as viable candidates. They are well aware of the significance of garnering public support and party backing, as these factors play a decisive role in their chances of success. Each candidate is strategizing, leveraging their political connections, track records, and public image to strengthen their position and gain a competitive edge.

At the heart of the discussions surrounding the next governor is the issue of which senatorial district should assume the position. Edo State is divided into three senatorial districts: Edo South, Edo Central, and Edo North. The question of district representation is a matter of great importance, with each district keenly interested in claiming the governorship seat. Aspirants from different districts are positioning themselves to advocate for their regions and rally support from their constituents.

Adding further intrigue to the political landscape is the resurfacing rivalry between Governor Obaseki and Senator Oshiomhole. Their previous clashes and ideological differences have become synonymous with Edo State politics. This rivalry, which has spanned several years, promises to shape the upcoming election and capture the attention of both the electorate and political observers.

Governor Obaseki, who succeeded Oshiomhole, is nearing the end of his second term and is expected to hand over power in November next year. Speculation abounds that Obaseki plans to support a candidate from Edo Central Senatorial District as his successor. However, the presence of Senator Oshiomhole, a former national chairman of the All Progressives Congress (APC), adds a significant challenge to Obaseki’s plans. Oshiomhole’s enduring influence and his desire to reclaim the state for the APC create a battleground where political ambitions clash.

The rivalry between Obaseki and Oshiomhole serves as a backdrop against which the jostling for position occurs. Aspirants must navigate this complex landscape, seeking alliances and endorsements while managing the expectations and aspirations of their respective districts. The battle for the governorship becomes a multidimensional contest, where political maneuvering, strategic alliances, and careful messaging are crucial to success.

In this intricate political environment, the aspirants face the dual challenge of appealing to their party members and courting the broader electorate. They must balance the expectations of their constituents with the need to form strategic alliances and mobilize support beyond their own districts. Winning the trust and support of the electorate requires a careful blend of charisma, credibility, and political acumen.

As the jostling for position intensifies, Edo State finds itself at the center of a captivating political drama. The battle for the governorship seat is not merely a matter of individual ambition, but a reflection of the aspirations and interests of the diverse constituents across the senatorial districts. The outcome of this political jostle will ultimately shape the destiny of Edo State and determine the course of its governance for years to come.

Obaseki’s Successor and Oshiomhole’s Ambitions

The upcoming selection of Governor Godwin Obaseki’s successor and the ambitions of Senator Adams Oshiomhole have sparked significant interest and anticipation in Edo State. As Obaseki approaches the end of his second term, speculations have emerged regarding his intention to support a candidate from the Edo Central Senatorial district as his successor. This plan sets the stage for a fierce battle among political contenders, particularly with the presence of Senator Oshiomhole, a prominent figure in Edo politics and former national chairman of the All Progressives Congress (APC).

Governor Obaseki’s backing of a candidate from Edo Central represents a strategic move aimed at ensuring a smooth transition and maintaining political influence within the state. By aligning with a candidate from Edo Central, Obaseki aims to consolidate support within his party, the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), and secure the backing of voters from the senatorial district. This approach also seeks to address the aspirations of Edo Central, which has not produced a governor in over 14 years.

However, Obaseki’s plan encounters a significant challenge in the form of Senator Oshiomhole, who remains a formidable force in Edo politics. Oshiomhole, who served as Edo State governor from 2008 to 2016, retains a strong political base and enjoys widespread influence, particularly in Edo North Senatorial district. As a former national chairman of the APC, Oshiomhole is determined to reclaim the state and the governorship for the party.

The rivalry between Obaseki and Oshiomhole adds a compelling dynamic to the political landscape in Edo State. Their clashes and power struggles have shaped the political narrative in recent years and are likely to captivate attention in the upcoming election. The battle between the PDP, led by Obaseki, and the APC, spearheaded by Oshiomhole, promises to be intense and could influence the outcome of the governorship race.

The APC’s determination to reclaim the state after losing it to the PDP in the previous election further heightens the stakes. The party’s stronghold in Edo North Senatorial district, which Oshiomhole led to victory during his tenure, remains a crucial factor. The APC aims to capitalize on its support base and mobilize voters across the senatorial districts to secure a win in the governorship election.

The PDP and other political parties in the region face a significant challenge in countering the APC’s determination and influence. They must strategize and forge alliances to consolidate their support base, both within and beyond Edo Central. The success of the PDP and other parties in securing the governorship will depend on their ability to navigate the complex political landscape, mobilize support, and present a compelling candidate who can appeal to voters across the state.

In the lead-up to the election, the battle for Obaseki’s successor and Oshiomhole’s ambitions are likely to shape the political discourse and campaign strategies of various parties and aspirants. The contest between the PDP and the APC, with their respective candidates, will define the future of governance in Edo State. The outcome of this battle will not only determine the next governor but also have far-reaching implications for the state’s political dynamics and the balance of power within the region.

In conclusion, the succession of Governor Obaseki and the ambitions of Senator Oshiomhole have injected a significant level of excitement and competitiveness into Edo State politics. The clash between the PDP and the APC, as well as the rivalry between Obaseki and Oshiomhole, will shape the course of events leading up to the governorship election. The battle for political dominance and the determination of parties to reclaim or retain power will unfold in the coming months, making Edo State a focal point of political intrigue and a battleground for political aspirants.

Oshiomhole’s Influence and Obaseki’s Support Base

Senator Adams Oshiomhole’s influence and the support base of Governor Godwin Obaseki form crucial elements of the political landscape in Edo State. Oshiomhole’s stronghold lies in the Edo North Senatorial District, where he has commanded considerable support in previous elections. The All Progressives Congress (APC) secured victory in Edo North under Oshiomhole’s leadership, much to the disappointment of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) and its leaders, including Deputy Governor Philip Shaibu.

Edo North Senatorial District serves as the power base for Senator Oshiomhole. His ability to mobilize voters and secure their allegiance has been a key factor in the APC’s success in the district. Oshiomhole’s influence in Edo North stems from his tenure as Edo State governor from 2008 to 2016, during which he implemented notable developmental projects and maintained a strong political presence.

The PDP and its leaders, including Deputy Governor Philip Shaibu, are deeply concerned about Oshiomhole’s resurgence and the influence he wields in Edo North. The alignment between Shaibu and Oshiomhole’s camp has caused unease within the PDP, as it raises questions about loyalty and potential shifts in political alliances. Shaibu’s presence at recent APC gatherings has fueled speculation about his intentions and the impact it may have on the PDP’s strategy for the 2024 governorship election.

In contrast, Governor Obaseki enjoys significant support in the southern part of Edo State and has garnered support from some factions in the central district as well. The success of the PDP in the state House of Assembly elections, where they secured a majority of seats in Edo South and Edo Central Senatorial Districts, indicates Obaseki’s ability to rally support within these regions.

Obaseki’s support base is a result of his tenure as governor, where he implemented policies and projects that resonated with voters in the south and central districts. His defection from the APC to the PDP further solidified his position within the party and enabled him to consolidate his influence and leadership role.

The dynamic between Obaseki and Oshiomhole adds an intriguing element to Edo State politics. Despite their acrimonious relationship and public clashes, the two remain key figures that aspirants seeking the governorship must court to gain support. The rivalry between Obaseki and Oshiomhole, which has spanned several years, continues to shape the political landscape and intensify the competition for the governorship ticket.

The battle for the governorship in Edo State is not just a contest between political parties but also a struggle for supremacy between Obaseki and Oshiomhole. Their respective support bases and influence over different senatorial districts make them pivotal actors in determining the outcome of the election. Aspirants must navigate this complex terrain and carefully consider their alliances and strategies to win the backing of these influential figures and their respective supporters.

In the lead-up to the 2024 governorship election, the influence of Oshiomhole in Edo North and Obaseki’s support base in the south and central districts will play a significant role. Aspirants and political parties must formulate comprehensive strategies that appeal to voters across the senatorial districts while effectively managing the dynamics surrounding Oshiomhole and Obaseki. The ability to forge alliances, address regional concerns, and present a compelling vision for the future of Edo State will be key factors in securing victory in this intricate political landscape.

Potential APC Candidates and Implications

The All Progressives Congress (APC) in Edo State is currently considering potential candidates for the governorship ticket, and two names that have emerged as frontrunners are Prince Clem Agba from Edo North Senatorial District and Prof. Oserhiemen Osunbor from Edo Central Senatorial District. While the selection of either candidate could have implications for the APC’s chances in the upcoming election, observers caution against a potential disadvantage if the APC chooses Agba and the PDP selects a candidate from Edo Central.

Prince Clem Agba, a former Minister of State, Budget and National Planning, hails from Edo North, which has traditionally been a strong base for the APC. Agba’s candidacy could leverage the support and influence the party has in Edo North, potentially bolstering their chances of reclaiming the governorship. His track record and experience in government administration may also work in his favor.

On the other hand, Prof. Oserhiemen Osunbor, a former governor of Edo State, is from Edo Central. Osunbor’s candidacy carries the weight of his previous tenure as governor and his professional background as a respected professor of law. His appeal in Edo Central could garner significant support from the region, potentially strengthening the APC’s chances in that district.

However, observers highlight a potential challenge for the APC if they choose Agba as their candidate and the PDP selects a candidate from Edo Central. The observers argue that this scenario may put the APC at a disadvantage, particularly within their own party. Choosing a candidate from Edo North while the PDP selects a candidate from Edo Central could lead to divided loyalties within the APC, as some party members may feel overlooked or perceive a lack of representation from their own district.

In such a situation, the APC could face the risk of losing support from factions within the party or experiencing internal divisions that could weaken their overall position. It is crucial for the APC to carefully consider the potential implications and strategize accordingly to maintain unity and harmony within their ranks.

The selection of candidates in the political landscape is a delicate balancing act. It requires parties to evaluate not only the popularity and qualifications of the candidates but also the broader political dynamics, regional sentiments, and party cohesion. The APC’s decision regarding the governorship ticket will shape the party’s chances in the election and influence their ability to rally support from both within the party and among voters in the state.

As the APC deliberates on potential candidates, it is essential for them to consider the implications of their decision on internal party dynamics, unity, and support across different senatorial districts. Ultimately, their candidate selection must strike a balance that appeals to their base, consolidates support within the party, and positions them strongly against their political rivals. The APC’s ability to navigate these complexities and present a formidable candidate will be crucial in their quest to reclaim the governorship in Edo State.

The Impact of Osunbor’s Candidacy

The candidacy of Prof. Oserhiemen Osunbor in the upcoming Edo State governorship election has the potential to significantly impact the political landscape, particularly for the All Progressives Congress (APC). As a respected professor of law, Osunbor brings a wealth of experience and knowledge to the race, positioning himself as an asset for the APC and increasing their chances of returning to the Government House in 2024.

One of the key advantages of Osunbor’s candidacy lies in his ability to garner support from both Edo South and Edo North constituents. Edo South, the most populous senatorial district in the state, holds significant sway in determining the outcome of elections. With his impressive academic background and expertise in law, Osunbor can appeal to the educated and intellectual population of Edo South, potentially winning their support.

Moreover, Osunbor’s influence is not limited to Edo South alone. He also has the potential to resonate with voters in Edo North, an area where the APC has traditionally enjoyed strong support. As a candidate who hails from Edo Central, Osunbor’s neutral positioning within the senatorial districts could bridge the divide and attract voters from both regions. This broad-based appeal increases the APC’s chances of success in securing the necessary votes to reclaim the Government House.

Furthermore, Osunbor’s stature as a professor of law adds a layer of credibility and expertise to his candidacy. His academic achievements and professional background command respect and lend weight to his policy proposals and governance plans. This intellectual capital can resonate with voters looking for a candidate who brings a depth of knowledge and expertise to the role of governor.

While Osunbor’s candidacy presents significant potential for the APC, it also poses challenges and considerations. The APC will need to effectively leverage Osunbor’s strengths and navigate the complexities of Edo State politics to maximize his impact. They must work to consolidate support across the senatorial districts, including Edo South and Edo North, while also addressing the aspirations and concerns of other key stakeholders in the party.

Furthermore, Osunbor’s candidacy must contend with the presence of other formidable aspirants within the APC and from rival parties. The political landscape is dynamic, and the outcome of the election will depend on a multitude of factors, including the strength of the opposition and the ability of candidates to connect with voters on key issues.

Prof. Osunbor’s candidacy presents the APC with a valuable asset in the upcoming Edo State governorship election. His respected background in law, broad-based appeal, and potential to win support from both Edo South and Edo North constituents enhance the APC’s chances of returning to power. However, success will require effective campaign strategies, skillful coalition-building, and the ability to navigate the intricacies of Edo State politics. The impact of Osunbor’s candidacy will ultimately be determined by how well the APC capitalizes on his strengths and navigates the challenges ahead.

PDP’s Dependence on Obaseki’s Support

The dependence of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) on the support of Governor Godwin Obaseki holds significant implications for the party’s candidate selection process in the upcoming Edo State governorship election. As the leader of the PDP in the state, Obaseki wields considerable influence in determining who will succeed him as the party’s candidate.

Governor Obaseki’s support is highly sought after by PDP aspirants due to his political clout and popularity within the party. His endorsement can provide a significant boost to a candidate’s chances of securing the party’s ticket and rallying support from party members and the electorate. As a two-term governor who successfully weathered a political storm after defecting from the All Progressives Congress (APC) to the PDP, Obaseki’s backing carries substantial weight.

However, the PDP faces internal divisions that could complicate Obaseki’s plans for anointing his preferred successor. The legacy PDP faction, which has long-standing members and a different power base, poses a challenge to the governor’s influence. These internal divisions could lead to factionalism within the party and potentially push some aspirants towards seeking alternative platforms, such as the Labour Party.

The potential shift of aspirants towards the Labour Party poses a threat to the PDP’s unity and electoral prospects. It could fragment the party’s support base and weaken its overall position in the upcoming election. The PDP must navigate these internal divisions and find a way to reconcile the competing factions to ensure a cohesive and united front in the selection of their candidate.

Furthermore, the PDP must also contend with the political landscape beyond its internal challenges. The growing strength of the Labour Party, as discussed previously, presents another alternative for aspirants seeking to challenge the established political order. If the PDP fails to address its internal divisions and provide a compelling candidate backed by broad party support, it risks losing potential aspirants to the Labour Party, further weakening its position in the electoral race.

To secure a successful transition and maintain its political relevance in Edo State, the PDP must find a delicate balance between the influence of Governor Obaseki and the competing interests within the party. It requires strong leadership and effective mediation to bridge the gaps between the legacy PDP faction and the governor’s camp. A united front is essential for the PDP to present a formidable candidate and maximize its chances of success in the election.

Ultimately, the PDP’s dependence on Obaseki’s support underscores the significance of his role in shaping the party’s future. However, the challenges posed by internal divisions and the allure of alternative platforms like the Labour Party necessitate careful navigation and strategic decision-making within the party. The PDP’s ability to reconcile these factors and present a strong, unified front will be crucial in determining its prospects in the upcoming governorship election in Edo State.

The Growing Strength of the Labour Party

The political landscape of Edo State has witnessed a notable phenomenon with the growing strength of the Labour Party. This emergence has been marked by the party’s increasing momentum and its ability to attract politicians who seek alternative platforms. Aspirants who are dissatisfied with their current party affiliations are finding the Labour Party an appealing option to pursue their political ambitions.

One significant factor contributing to the Labour Party’s appeal is its inclusive membership policy. The party has positioned itself as a welcoming platform, open to politicians from diverse backgrounds and affiliations. This inclusivity has provided a haven for those who feel marginalized or overlooked within their former parties, attracting a diverse array of aspirants to the party’s ranks.

Moreover, the Labour Party has managed to maintain relative internal cohesion, avoiding the internal strife that often plagues other political parties. The absence of infighting and power struggles within the party has enhanced its appeal, positioning it as a stable and harmonious alternative for politicians seeking a more conducive political environment.

The rise in competition for the Labour Party’s governorship ticket is a clear testament to its growing strength. Aspirants recognize the party’s potential and are drawn to the prospects it offers. This increased competition within the party reflects a desire among politicians to align themselves with an organization that can provide them with a competitive advantage and a viable path to political success.

While the Labour Party’s ascent in Edo State politics is notable, its true impact on the upcoming governorship election remains to be seen. As the party attracts more aspirants, the internal competition will intensify, leading to a vibrant and dynamic selection process for their governorship ticket. The outcome of this internal contest will undoubtedly shape the party’s trajectory and determine its ability to effectively challenge established political forces in the state.

In the broader context of Edo State politics, the growing strength of the Labour Party adds another layer of complexity to an already intricate landscape. The party’s rise may disrupt established power dynamics and force other political actors to reevaluate their strategies. It remains to be seen whether the Labour Party will emerge as a formidable contender capable of challenging the dominance of the existing parties or whether its influence will be more limited in the upcoming election.

As the race for the governorship heats up, all eyes will be on the Labour Party and its ability to leverage its growing strength to secure electoral victories. The party’s inclusive nature, lack of internal strife, and the appeal it holds for politicians seeking an alternative platform make it a force to be reckoned with. The true impact of the Labour Party’s rise will unfold as the election approaches, unveiling a new dynamic in Edo State politics and potentially reshaping the political landscape for years to come.

The Imperative of Zoning

The question of zoning the governorship in Edo State has emerged as a contentious issue among stakeholders. Zoning refers to the practice of rotating political offices among different regions or districts within a particular geographical area. In this case, the focus is on whether the governorship should be zoned to Edo Central, which is often referred to as the “Esan people,” or if it should be open to candidates from all senatorial districts.

Advocates of zoning argue that it is Edo Central’s turn to produce the governor, as the other two senatorial districts, Edo South and Edo North, have already had their fair share of power. They contend that rotating the governorship among the senatorial districts promotes equity, fairness, and inclusivity in governance. Proponents of zoning believe that by allowing Edo Central to produce the next governor, it will provide an opportunity for the region to address its unique challenges, prioritize its development needs, and have a voice in the affairs of the state.

On the other hand, opponents of zoning argue that the governorship position should be open to all candidates, regardless of their senatorial district. They contend that zoning restricts the democratic process by limiting the pool of potential candidates based on their geographical origins. Critics argue that the focus should be on selecting the most qualified and competent candidate, irrespective of their district of origin. They argue that zoning can inadvertently perpetuate mediocrity by prioritizing regional considerations over merit and capability.

The debate over zoning in Edo State reflects the complexities of balancing regional interests and the principles of democracy. The decision regarding zoning requires careful consideration of historical context, power dynamics, and the aspirations of different communities within the state. While some stakeholders may support zoning to address historical imbalances and promote inclusivity, others prioritize the principles of equal opportunity and meritocracy.

The imperative of zoning extends beyond the question of fairness. It also has political implications, as it can influence electoral dynamics and the support base of political parties. Failure to adhere to zoning agreements or expectations can result in disillusionment among voters and erode trust in political processes. It is therefore crucial for political parties to carefully navigate the issue of zoning to maintain broad-based support and ensure a level playing field for all candidates.

Ultimately, the decision on whether to zone the governorship to Edo Central or leave it open to candidates from all senatorial districts will have significant implications for Edo State’s political landscape. It will shape the power dynamics within the state, influence electoral outcomes, and impact the relationships between different communities and interest groups. Balancing the principles of fairness, inclusivity, and meritocracy is a delicate task that requires careful consideration of the aspirations and needs of all stakeholders involved.

In the coming months, stakeholders in Edo State will continue to debate and negotiate the issue of zoning as part of the broader discourse surrounding the governorship election. The resolution reached on this matter will have far-reaching consequences for the political climate and governance dynamics in the state, underscoring the imperative of finding a consensus that takes into account the diverse interests and aspirations of the people of Edo State.

The Esan Agenda and Political Alliances

Advocates for the Esan Agenda, which emphasizes the need for an Esan candidate, are seeking unity among aspirants from Edo Central. Their goal is to rally support behind a strong and qualified personality from the zone. Esanland’s political calculations, in collaboration with other senatorial districts, will significantly influence the outcome of the election.

Endorsements and Appeals: Various political support groups, including Esan Okpa Initiative and Esan New Era (ENE), have endorsed the Esan Agenda, insisting on the necessity of an Esan governor. These groups emphasize the criteria that aspirants must meet to gain overwhelming support and ensure regional unity and support from other senatorial zones.

As the jostle for the Edo State governorship intensifies, political gladiators are engaged in strategic moves, seeking to consolidate their bases of support and outmaneuver their rivals. The rivalry between Obaseki and Oshiomhole, the potential impact of influential figures, and the dynamic interplay between parties and senatorial districts all contribute to the complexity of the upcoming election. The path to victory in 2024 remains uncertain, with the outcome hinging on the ability of aspirants to navigate the intricate web of Edo State politics and mobilize support effectively.

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